Daily Shaarli

All links of one day in a single page.

August 20, 2024

Americans Overwhelmingly Reject Biden’s Plan To Tax Unsold Assets
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2021 study found that Americans reject this policy by a three-to-one margin, including a significant 76% of independent voters.

Unrealized Gain Tax—A Coming Sea Change in FY2025 Budget Proposal?
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A shift in tax policy towards tapping revenue streams in unrealized gains is almost certainly on the horizon, it is just a matter of degree. A tax on unrealized gains will need to be carefully calibrated and accounted for, targeted first towards high net worth individuals and liquid assets, to avoid the administrative and political quagmire of valuation and ability-to-pay concerns. Notwithstanding the precision in policy required, absent intervention, the existing imbalances that have allowed vast amounts of wealth to grow, essentially tax-free, will persist.

General Explanations of the Administration's Revenue Proposals for Fiscal Year 2024 - General-Explanations-FY2024.pdf

The proposal would impose a minimum tax of 25 percent on total income, generally inclusive of unrealized capital gains, for all taxpayers with wealth (that is, the difference obtained by subtracting liabilities from assets) greater than $100 million.

How Kamala Harris Sees the Economy - WSJ

Mr. Biden and Ms. Harris seek to raise business and personal tax rates, tax unrealized capital gains, and even help foreign countries raise taxes on U.S. companies.

Biden’s billionaire tax proposal, explained | Vox
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... a 25 percent tax on all wealth over $100 million, estimated to apply to just 0.01 percent of Americans.

It also proposes levying an unrealized capital gains tax for the first time in US history. Much of the power and influence that the ultra-wealthy wield comes from the value of the assets they currently own. Elon Musk, one of the richest people on Earth, was able to buy Twitter for $44 billion not because he had that much cash in a savings account, but because he was worth north of $250 billion and owned so many valuable assets, such as his stakes in Tesla and SpaceX, that he could leverage to finance the deal.

The U.S. is the top country for millionaires and billionaires
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The U.S. has 9,850 centi-millionaires

Biden Budget Tax Proposals: Details & Analysis | Tax Foundation
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The billionaire minimum tax, as it is commonly known, would increase the complexity of the tax code by using a non-traditional and difficult-to-measure definition of income. It would require formulaic rules for valuing different types of assets, payment periods that vary by asset type, and a separate tax system to deal with illiquid assets. This tax design goes well beyond international norms, where capital gains are taxed when realized and at lower rates than the US in many cases.

'Let's Go!' Top Economist Applauds as Harris Signals Support for Billionaires Tax | Common Dreams
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a 25% tax on billionaire wealth is extremely popular with U.S. voters across the political spectrum. A survey in March of last year by Data for Progress found that 87% of Democrats, 68% of Independents and third-party voters, and 51% of Republicans back the idea

budget_fy2024.pdf

We propose a billionaire minimum tax, requiring the wealthiest Americans to pay at least 25 percent on all of their income, including appreciated assets—because no billionaire should ever pay a lower tax rate than a school teacher or a firefighter.

Elon Musk’s Twitter Takeover Is Now the Worst Buyout for Banks Since the Financial Crisis - WSJ

Twitter isn’t only the biggest hung deal by dollar amount since the 2008 financial crisis but one of the biggest of all time.

X’s business is still struggling to climb out of the deep hole it fell into under his ownership—the company last year said its value had fallen by more than half, to around $19 billion.

Axios Pro Rata: a16z vs. Biden

In short, it was an unforced error by the Biden administration to include something in its FY24 and FY25 budgets that had almost no chance of becoming law, for the sake of campaign rhetoric about making billionaires "pay their fair share."

The Biden proposal, which you can find on page 83 of this document, doesn't cover all unrealized capital gains. Most startups founders and employees would be unaffected.
First, it only applies to those with $100 million in wealth (defined as assets minus liabilities). Second, even for that group, it only would apply if 80% or more of the person's wealth comes from liquid assets (i.e., not startup stock).
If an individual is considered illiquid — e.g., a startup founder with $100 million in wealth, but $90 million of that in their company's stock — they could defer the unrealized tax payments until exit (and then it's only up to a cumulative 10% of unrealized gains).

I’m an Economist: Here’s What a Harris Win Would Mean for the Tax Burden on the Rich
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the most striking proposal is what IFC Media, the leading publishing house for the global wealth management industry, calls a “radical departure from normal taxation” — the taxing of unrealized gains for the ultra-rich.

An old investing adage is you don’t lose anything until you sell. Conversely, since unharvested returns are still unrealized gains, they’re not subject to taxation — at least not yet.

Her proposed 25% tax on unrealized gains for centi-millionaires with nine-figure fortunes or more would be a watershed moment for U.S. tax policy.

General Explanations of the Administration's Fiscal Year 2025 Revenue Proposals - General-Explanations-FY2025.pdf

The proposal would impose a minimum tax of 25 percent on total income, generally inclusive of unrealized capital gains, for all taxpayers with wealth (that is, the difference obtained by subtracting liabilities from assets) greater than $100 million.